NH Shakedown

NH has got a much tighter race in the works between BO and HRC than polls were indicating. I just caught a couple stats from MSNBC that are relevant in this regard --

1) among voters to make their decision in the past 3 days, HRC and BO are tied at 38%.

2) among women (57% of electorate), HRC is leading 47% - 34% (Edwards = 15%).
This compared to women in Iowa: BO-35%, HRC-30%, Edwards-23%.

The bottom line behind HRCs early lead in NH is that women are going for HRC and young voters are less of a force (Im told that up to 10,000 college students returned to school early to caucus for Obama - which was huge). BOs margin of victory in Iowa also may not have been ultimately positive - he started to gain an inevitability factor and it appears to be working against him.

Obama Wins Dixville Notch

Dixville Notch and Hart's Location are two towns near the Canadian border where the first ballots are counted in the New Hampshire Primary. It has a population of 75 and has a long standing midnight voting tradition (NH state law allows towns with a population less than 100 to vote at midnight) .

Here are the results:

Dixville Notch:
Obama: 7
Edwards: 2
Richardson: 1

McCain: 4
Romney: 2
Guiliani: 1


Hart's Location:
Obama: 9
Clinton: 3
Edwards: 1

McCain: 6
Huckabee: 5
Paul: 4
Romney: 1